We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Travelers Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?
Read MoreHide Full Article
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV - Free Report) is set to report third-quarter 2024 earnings on Oct. 17. TRV delivered an earnings surprise in two of the last four quarters and missed twice, the average beat being 7.47%.
Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Factors to Consider
Travelers’ third-quarter results are likely to benefit from solid performance across its three segments.
Better pricing, solid renewal rate change, strong retention and exposure growth are likely to have aided premiums in the to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $10.5 billion, indicating an increase of 8.9% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate premiums to increase 8.6% to $10.5 billion.
Investment results are likely to benefit from a higher long-term average yield, a higher average level of fixed maturity investments, reliable terms from growing fixed income portfolio and higher returns from non-fixed income portfolio. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $883 million, implying an increase of 14.8% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate net investment income to increase 13% to $868.7 million.
The Personal Insurance segment is likely to have benefited from increases in the automobile and homeowners and other product lines, strong retention rates and positive renewal premium changes. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $4.2 billion, indicating an increase of 10.2% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate earned premiums at Personal Insurance to be $4 billion, suggesting an improvement of 7% from the year-ago reported figure.
An increase in net written premiums coupled with higher net investment income and other revenues is likely to have aided the top line in the to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $11.68 billion, indicating a 9.1% increase from the year-ago reported figure.
Despite catastrophe losses, better pricing and increased exposure, coupled with prudent underwriting, are expected to have aided underwriting profitability, which, in turn, is expected to have led to an improvement in the combined ratio. We estimate the combined ratio to be 100.3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at 98, indicating an improvement of 300 basis points from the year-ago reported number.
However, expenses are expected to have risen on higher claims and claim adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred acquisition costs, general and administrative expenses, as well as interest expenses. We estimate expenses to increase 4.1% in the to-be-reported quarter to $10.6 billion. Continued share buybacks are anticipated to have provided an additional boost to the bottom line.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings per share is pegged at $3.76, suggesting an increase of 92.8% from the year-ago reported figure.
What the Zacks Model Unveils
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Travelers this time around. This is because a stock needs to have the right combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). This is not the case, as you can see below:
Earnings ESP: Travelers has an Earnings ESP of -9.26%. This is because the Most Accurate Estimate of $3.41 is pegged lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.76. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
The Travelers Companies, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
Zacks Rank: Travelers currently carries a Zacks Rank #3.
Stocks to Consider
Here are three P&C insurance stocks you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat:
Arch Capital Group (ACGL - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +5.14% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $1.82, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 21.2%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
ACGL’s earnings beat estimates in each of the last four reported quarters.
First American Financial (FAF - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.77% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $1.15, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 5.7%.
FAF’s earnings beat estimates in two of the last four reported quarters while missing in the other two.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.91% and carries a Zacks Rank of 3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $2.51, implying an increase of 2.4% from the year-ago quarter's reported figure.
AFG’s earnings beat estimates in two of the last four reported quarters while missing in the other two.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
Image: Bigstock
Travelers Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV - Free Report) is set to report third-quarter 2024 earnings on Oct. 17. TRV delivered an earnings surprise in two of the last four quarters and missed twice, the average beat being 7.47%.
Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Factors to Consider
Travelers’ third-quarter results are likely to benefit from solid performance across its three segments.
Better pricing, solid renewal rate change, strong retention and exposure growth are likely to have aided premiums in the to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $10.5 billion, indicating an increase of 8.9% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate premiums to increase 8.6% to $10.5 billion.
Investment results are likely to benefit from a higher long-term average yield, a higher average level of fixed maturity investments, reliable terms from growing fixed income portfolio and higher returns from non-fixed income portfolio. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $883 million, implying an increase of 14.8% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate net investment income to increase 13% to $868.7 million.
The Personal Insurance segment is likely to have benefited from increases in the automobile and homeowners and other product lines, strong retention rates and positive renewal premium changes. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at $4.2 billion, indicating an increase of 10.2% from the year-ago reported number. We estimate earned premiums at Personal Insurance to be $4 billion, suggesting an improvement of 7% from the year-ago reported figure.
An increase in net written premiums coupled with higher net investment income and other revenues is likely to have aided the top line in the to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $11.68 billion, indicating a 9.1% increase from the year-ago reported figure.
Despite catastrophe losses, better pricing and increased exposure, coupled with prudent underwriting, are expected to have aided underwriting profitability, which, in turn, is expected to have led to an improvement in the combined ratio. We estimate the combined ratio to be 100.3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at 98, indicating an improvement of 300 basis points from the year-ago reported number.
However, expenses are expected to have risen on higher claims and claim adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred acquisition costs, general and administrative expenses, as well as interest expenses. We estimate expenses to increase 4.1% in the to-be-reported quarter to $10.6 billion.
Continued share buybacks are anticipated to have provided an additional boost to the bottom line.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings per share is pegged at $3.76, suggesting an increase of 92.8% from the year-ago reported figure.
What the Zacks Model Unveils
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Travelers this time around. This is because a stock needs to have the right combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). This is not the case, as you can see below:
Earnings ESP: Travelers has an Earnings ESP of -9.26%. This is because the Most Accurate Estimate of $3.41 is pegged lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.76. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
The Travelers Companies, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
The Travelers Companies, Inc. price-eps-surprise | The Travelers Companies, Inc. Quote
Zacks Rank: Travelers currently carries a Zacks Rank #3.
Stocks to Consider
Here are three P&C insurance stocks you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat:
Arch Capital Group (ACGL - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +5.14% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $1.82, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 21.2%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
ACGL’s earnings beat estimates in each of the last four reported quarters.
First American Financial (FAF - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.77% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $1.15, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 5.7%.
FAF’s earnings beat estimates in two of the last four reported quarters while missing in the other two.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.91% and carries a Zacks Rank of 3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $2.51, implying an increase of 2.4% from the year-ago quarter's reported figure.
AFG’s earnings beat estimates in two of the last four reported quarters while missing in the other two.